一种基于马尔可夫链的随机预测模型.docVIP

一种基于马尔可夫链的随机预测模型 一一以日木地方经济为例 A Random Predicting Model Based on Markov Chain： Taking Economy of Japan as an Example 赖静 LAI Jing (阿坝师范高等专科学校，汶川623002) (Aba Teachers College, Wenchuan 623002, China) 摘要：木文通过分析研究，提出一种基于马尔可夫链的随机预测模型，该 模型在预测日木地方经济时可以取得较好的效果。该模型可以预测2020年及之 前H木各地方县市经济的变化情况。虽然木文提出的模型比较简单,但通过扩展， 该模型在预测日木地方县市经济时可以提供更准确的信息。 Abstract: Through analysis and research, this paper puts forward a random predicting model based on Markov chain. This model can achieve better results in predicting the Japanese local economy. The model can predict the changes of the Japanese local economy by 2020. A