量化风险分析技术在石化项目设计中的应用探讨-安全技术及工程专业论文.docxVIP

摘要安全性是构成每个工程项目必不可少的质量要素之一，设计的安全性 摘要 安全性是构成每个工程项目必不可少的质量要素之一，设计的安全性 又是保证工程项目安全性的一个重要前提，是实现项目本质安全化这一安 全的最高层次要求的基本途径。石化行业的生产工艺特性、石化原料产品 的易燃易爆特性和石化企业事故后果的特殊严重性，都决定了石化工程项 目设计的安全性问题较之于其他行业而言更为严峻和更为突出。多年来， 我国石化工程设计的安全性主要是由设计单位严格执行国家安全标准规 范和国家安全环保部门对工程设计进行的审批制度来保证的，基本上还只 限于依靠法规指导下的定性分析或定性评价，并未进入量化风险分析与评 估阶段，使得工程设计安全性的保证缺乏更为合理、科学的依据或基础， 与国外同类行业的先进技术成果和管理现状间存在着很大差距。本文旨在 简要介绍“量化风险分析技术”这 国外先进分析技术及手段的基础上， 结合笔者将该方法用于工程项目设计实践的体会，阐述在石化工程项目设 计中对安全性实施量化分析、提高安全管理水平的必要性和重要意义。 Abstract： The safety is to form one ofthe each project essential quality key elements． The safety designed is an important prerequisite of guaranteeing the safety of the project，Realize project take this safe supreme basic way that level requires safely by essence．Characteristic ofproduction technology，the inflammable and explosive characteristic ofthe petrochemical industry raw materials products and special severity ofthe accident consequence ofenterprise of petrochemical industry ofthe trade ofpetrochemical industry，It determine petrochemical industry design safety issues ofat projects than at other trades but speech getting severe and getting more outstanding．For many years，The safety ofengineering design ofpetrochemical industry ofour country is designed the unit and carries out the standard ofnational safety standard and examination and approval to the thing that engineering design carries on of department ofenvironmental protection ofthe national safety strictly mainly It 第2页共72页 is is guaranteed that the system comes，still only limited to depending on the qualitative analysis under the guidance ofthe regulation or determining the nature on appraisal basically，Have not entered risk analysis ofquantization and assessed stage，make the asSLllap_ce ofthe engineering design safety lack more rational，scientific basis or foundation，The advanced technological achievement and manage and there is very great disparity among the current situation witll the foreign similar trade．It is briefto introduce and”quantize ris