中国财政货币政策协调配合和宏观经济稳定:理论分析.pdf

中国财政货币政策协调配合和宏观经济稳定:理论分析.pdf

中国财政货币政策协调配合和宏观经济稳定:理论分析 类承曜 谢觐1 摘要:本文是对 Nordhaus (1994) 的发展。关于宏观经济稳定,本文一改IS-LM 框架下的传统分析方法, 通过构建一个“财政-货币”博弈模型证明了财政货币政策协调配合对于改进社会福利的重要性。无论 是“囚徒困境”中过高的财政赤字和过低的货币发行量,还是“财政领导”时短期内的恶化,都不利于 宏观经济稳定。针对这一现象,政策建议是建立财政货币政策协调委员会,以实现财政货币政策的协调 配合。 关键词:财政货币政策 财政领导 纳什讨价还价 Abstract: This paper is a extending of Nordhaus (1994). As to the stabilization of macro economy, we have altered from the long-established methodology under the framework of IS-LM model to game theory. By establishing a model of “Fiscal-Monetary” game, we have proved that the coordination of the fiscal-monetary policy is of vital importance to the welfare of society. Either the over-high budget deficit along with over-low supply of money, which crop up in the case of “prisoner’s dilemma”, or the “fiscal leadership” led to aggravation in short-run, will spoil the stabilization of macro economy. As to this phenomenon, we give a policy suggestion to set up a fiscal-monetary coordination committee to secure the harmonization of the two policies. Key words: fiscal-monetary policy fiscal-leadership Nash bargaining 领域分类:宏观经济学 1类承曜:中国人民大学财政金融学院副教授 中国人民大学中国财政金融政策研究中心研究员 电话: 通信地址:北京市海淀区中关村大街 59号,中国人民大学财政金融学院应用 金融系 邮政编码:100872 E-mail: leichengyao@sfruc.edu.cn 谢觐:中国人民大学财政金融学 院 电话E-mail: xiejin@ruc.edu.cn

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