继电保护装置运行数据收集.docVIP

*基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(5127713) PAGE PAGE 1 一种智能变电站保护装置寿命预测方法* 黄涛1，周鹏1，赖秋频2，汪祝年1，王亮2，杨军2 （1. 国网镇江供电公司，江苏 镇江 212001；2. 武汉大学 电气工程学院，武汉 430072） 摘要：继电保护设备剩余有效寿命预测是智能变电站二次设备状态检修的技术关键。本文提出了一种基于马尔科夫链的智能变电站继电保护设备寿命预测方法，该方法基于马尔科夫链，利用设备在线监测信息和历史运行数据获得其状态分布向量以及状态转移矩阵，进而根据可靠性原理预测其剩余有效寿命。算例分析结果表明该方法可以对保护装置未来运行状态分布和剩余寿命进行有效预测，其预测结果可以为运行人员提供参考。目前该方法已应用在实际智能变电站的二次设备在线监测系统中，有助于提高智能变电站的安全运行水平。 关键词：继电保护装置；马尔科夫链；寿命预测 中图分类号：TM774 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1001-1390(2017)00-0000-00 A life prediction method for intelligent substation protection device Huang Tao1, Zhou Peng1, Lai Qiupin2, Wang Zhunian1, Wang Liang2, Yang Jun2 (1.State Grid Zhenjiang Power Supply Company, Zhenjiang 212001, Jiangsu, China. 2. School of Electrical Engineering Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China) Abstract：The remaining effective life prediction of the relay protection equipment is the key technology of the secondary equipment condition maintenance of the intelligent substation. This paper presents aA method for predicting the life of relay protection equipment based on the Markov chain is proposed in this paper. Based on the Markov chain, the state distribution vector and the state transition matrix are obtained by using the equipment on-line monitoring information and historical operation data, thenand then, to predict its remaining effective life is predicted based on reliability principle. The results of numerical examples show that the proposed method can effectively predict the future operation state distribution and residual life of the protection device, and the prediction results can provide reference for the operation personnel. At present, this method has been applied in the on-line monitoring system of the intelligent substation secondary equipment, which can help to improve the stability of the intelligent substation. Keywords：relay protection device, Markov chain, life prediction 0　引 言 如今，随着智能电网的快速发展，为了避免出现电力事故影响供电，电力系统的安全稳定运行显得越来越重要。而作为保障电力系统安全运行的第一道防线，继电保护装置的可靠服役具有重要意义。因此，对继电保护装置的运行状态以及