燃料电池卡车系统成本分析.pdfVIP

Fuel Cell Truck System Cost Analysis Brian D. James Jennie M. Huya-Kouadio Cassidy Houchins Strategic Analysis Inc. July 30th-31st, 2018 Overview • Strategic Analysis Inc. (SA) is a 200 person consulting company in Arlington VA. • We specialize in Techno-economic analysis (TEA) of emerging energy systems • Under contract to DOE to conduct TEA of: – Onboard H2 storage systems – H2 Production and Delivery systems – PEM fuel cell systems for transportation • 80kW light-duty vehicles (mid-size sedan) • 160kW 40’ Transit bus • 160kW Medium Duty Truck (Class 6) Today’s Focus • Employ the DFMA™ cost analysis methodology 2 Overall Project Objectives • Project current (2018) and future cost (2020/2025) of automotive, bus, truck fuel cell systems at high manufacturing rates. • Project impact of technology improvements on system cost • Identify low cost pathways to achieve the DOE cost targets • Benchmark against production vehicle power systems • Identify fuel cell system cost drivers to facilitate Fuel Cell Technology Office programmatic decisions. 3 Approach: DFMA® methodology used to track annual cost impact of technology advances ® What is DFMA ? • DFMA® = Design for Manufacture Assembly = Process based cost estimation methodology • Registered trademark of Boothroyd-Dewhurst, Inc. • Used by hundreds of companies world-wide • Basis of Ford Motor Company (Ford) design/costing method for the past 20+ years • SA practices are a blend of: • “Textbook” DFMA®, industry standards and practices, DFMA® software, innovation, and practicality Estimated Cost = (Material Cost +