空客公司：民航市场预测2010-2029.ppt

5.8 billion people will increasingly want to travel by air Yearly RPK growth 2009 -2029 5.8 billion people 2009 1 billion people 2009 China India Middle East Asia* Africa CIS Latin America Eastern Europe Western Europe North America Japan Australasia * Asia excludes India, China and Japan Finland Austria Fiji Mauritius Latvia Saudi Arabia Chile Czech Rep. Canada UK 10 Bahamas Trips* per capita - 2009 Emerging economies on the edge to strong travel growth Propensity to travel 1 Denmark Ireland UAE Australia Macao New Zealand Singapore Hong Kong Italy USA Kuwait Sweden France Germany Japan Belgium Netherlands Cyprus Spain Greece Brunei Seychelles Malta Barbados Bahrain Maldives St Lucia Iceland Switzerland Qatar Trinidad Oman Estonia Slovenia Puerto Rico Taiwan South Korea Israel Samoa Cape Verde Costa Rica Jordan Brazil Libya Hungary RussiaSlovakia ChinaUruguay Equatorial Guinea Bolivia Mongolia 0.1 World average Belarus India Angola Swaziland Bangladesh Lesotho Iraq Chad Senegal Liberia 0.01 0.001 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 55,000 2009 real GDP per capita * Passengers originating from respective country Source: IATA PaxIS, Global Insight, Airbus Note: GDP in US$2005 0 500 1,500 Domestic US 2009 traffic 1,000 2029 traffic Largest 20 traffic flows in 2029 2009 and 2029 traffic volume per biggest traffic flow 20-year growth 2.2% % of 2029 world RPK 11.3% Domestic PRC Intra West. Europe US - West. Europe P.R. China - West. Europe South America - West. Europe Asia - West. Europe 8.4% 7.2% 5.9% 2.6% 2.4% 2.4% 7.0% 3.0% 4.0% 7.1% 5.3% 4.4% Middle East - West. Europe Asia - P.R. China Domestic India Intra Asia Central Europe - West. Europe P.R. China - US Indian Sub - Middle East JJapan - US Domestic