国际经济与贸易专业毕业论文--FDI与国内投资对浙江省经济增长效应.docVIP

摘 要 按照不同投资主体对资本投资进行划分，可以将投资分为外商直接投资和国内投资。由于不同的投资主体及不同的投资目的，其对经济增长的内在联系也不尽相同。以往的研究大多集中在外商直接投资与经济增长的关系上，针对这两种资本且对特定省的经济增长关系的比较研究尚不多。所以关于外商直接投资与国内投资对浙江经济增长效应的比较研究，并根据浙江省的经济实际提出相关的对策和建议具有重要的现实意义。 为了研究外商直接投资、国内投资、GDP三者之间的关系，本文在已有的关于FDI与国内投资对经济增长关系理论综述的基础上，利用1985-2009年的时间序列数据，用协整回归分析方法和格兰杰因果关系检验对FDI与国内投资对浙江经济增长的关系进行实证分析。结果表明外商直接投资和国内投资都促进了浙江的经济增长，国内投资对经济增长的拉动作用要大于FDI的作用。根据浙江经济和资本利用的特点，提出利用FDI、国内投资来促进浙江经济增长的对策与建议。 关键词： ABSTRACT The capital investment can be divided into FDI and domestic investment on the base of different investors. Because of different investors and different motivations, its internal relations to economic growth are not same. Most previous studies focused on the relation between FDI and economic growth, there are not too much studies on particular provinces about the relations between foreign direct investment, domestic investment and economic growth. So this study has an important practical significance. This paper mainly analyzes the relations between foreign direct investment, domestic investment and economic growth in Zhejiang Province by using the time series data from 1985 to 2009 on the basis of the previous discussion. This paper use the ADF Test, Cointegration Regression Test and Granger Causality Test to investigate their relationship. The finding suggests that foreign direct investment and domestic investment both enhance economic growth of Zhejiang. More specially, the pushing effect of domestic investment on the economic growth is greater than the contribution of the foreign direct investment. Combined with the characteristics of Zhejiangs economy and capital, this paper finally gives some suggestions to promote Zhejiang economy growth. Key words: FDI,domestic investment,economic growth 目 录ABSTRACT II 引 言 1 一、文献回顾 1 （一）投资对经济增长的理论 1 （二）FDI与国内投资对经济增长效应的实证分析 3 （三）总结评述 3 二、FDI与国内投资对浙江经济增长效应的比较实证分析 4 （一）模型构建 4 （二）数据处理说明 4 （三）实证分析 6 三、结论与建议 9 （一）关于外资利用的建议 9 （二）关于国内投资建议 11 参考文献 12 附录 14 致 谢 19 引 言 2010年，浙江全省生产总值为27227亿元，比上年增长11.8%。在2001年至20