浅析中国宏观经济调控演变与升级.pdfVIP

摘 要 改革开放以来，中国经济经历了高速、连续的增长。然而，这种增长的背 后蕴藏着种种不稳定因素和泡沫隐患，需要我国政府对经济进行宏观调控。相 比较而言，日本在战后同样经历了经济的高速增长。但是在其经济发展出现衰 退、泡沫时，日本政府不当的应对措施导致经济中的泡沫不断膨胀乃至破裂， 整个国民经济也长期处于萧条。历史不会简单的重演，但我国经济快速的增长 以及近几年凸现的房地产热和金融风险，使得我们应当以日本为借鉴，回顾改 革至今的宏观经济政策的成败得失，提升政府在宏观经济调控方面的水平，确 保宏观调控对经济发展起到一个保驾护航的作用。 为此，本文的分析可以分为以下五章： 第一章，在导论中，主要描述了选题的意义、研究方法和文中的创新与不 足。第二章，对西方经济学和马克思主义经济学关于宏观经济调控的核心理论 作了回顾和比较。第三章，分阶段地回顾了我国从改革开放至今的宏观经济政 策及其效果，着重分析了2003 年以来针对房地产热和金融风险的宏观调控政策。 第四章，对日本泡沫经济及其政府行为进行分析总结，探讨日本政府在泡沫周 期中的失误行为，对比我国经济发展和政府行为并从中得出启示。第五章，根 据上述分析，得出我国宏观调控升级的方向，并就实现宏观调控升级和实现微 调提出了相关建议。 关键词：宏观调控；泡沫经济；微调 1 Abstract Since the reform and open policy, China’s economy has experienced a continual growth with high speed. However, behind such a growth, there are all sorts of unstable factors and foamy hidden dangers, which lead our government to carry on macroeconomic regulation and control to adjust the economy. Comparatively, Japan has similarly experienced high-speed economic growth during its postwar period, but when its economy appeared decline and bubble, Japanese government’s improper measures to the situation had caused the bubble to inflate unceasingly and even break, and the whole national economy had been in the depression for a long time. The history won’t simply repeat, but our national economy’s fast growth, as well as the zeal in real estate and the financial risk during recent years, warned us to take Japan as use for reference, review our macroeconomic policies’ success and failure from the beginning of the reform till now and promote our government’s ability of the macroeconomic regulation and control in order to guarantee the macroeconomic regulation and control as an escort for the econom