浙江省旅游服务贸易与经济增长的实证研究毕业论文.docVIP

毕业论文 （20_ _届） 浙江省旅游服务贸易与经济增长的实证研究 摘 要 改革开放以来，浙江省旅游服务贸易凭借其丰富独特的旅游资源优势发展迅猛，对浙江省经济的发展有着举足轻重的作用。但是近年来，旅游服务贸易在浙江省服务贸易中所占比重有所下滑。 本文对浙江省旅游服务贸易的发展现状和存在问题进行分析的基础之上，从人力资本积累、就业以及物资资本积累三个方面对浙江省旅游服务贸易促进经济增长的路径进行分析，利用相关的数据对旅游服务贸易促进经济增长进行实证研究，结果表明浙江省旅游服务贸易的人力资本积累、就业及物质资本积累对经济增长均有显著的影响，同时协整关系与因果关系检验表明经济增长与旅游服务贸易进口、出口之间均存在长期均衡的关系，旅游服务贸易与经济增长存在因果关系。根据研究结果，对浙江省旅游服务贸易存在问题提出相应的对策建议，为经济增长做出贡献。 关键词：Abstract Since reform and opening, trade in tourism services in Zhejiang Province with its rich and unique advantage of tourism resources rapid development, it is plays a pivotal role to the economic development of Zhejiang Province. In this paper, in the basis of the analysis with the development and questions of the trade in tourism services in Zhejiang Province. From the human capital accumulation, employment and physical capital accumulation of the three aspects of trade in tourism services in Zhejiang Province to promote economic growth path analysis, using relevant Data on trade in tourism services to promote economic growth, empirical results showed that trade in tourism services in Zhejiang Province of human capital accumulation, employment and physical capital accumulation on economic growth, significant impact, while Co integration and causality tests show that the economic growth and tourism service trade import and export are among the long-run equilibrium relationship exists, tourism services, trade and economic growth of a causal relationship. Based on the results, the existence of trade in tourism services in Zhejiang Province put forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions, contribute to economic growth. Key word: Trade in tourism services; Economic growth; Empirical study 目 录 1 浙江省旅游服务贸易的发展现状及存在问题 1 1.1 浙江省旅游服务贸易的发展现状 1 1.2 浙江省旅游服务贸易发展存在的问题 5 1.2.1旅游服务贸易立法体制落后 5 1.2.2 旅游投资方向过于集中、投资效益欠佳 6 1.2.3 旅游产品结构单一 6 2 浙江省旅游服务贸易促进经济增长的路径分析 7 2.1 人力资本积累效应 7 2.1.1 人力资本积累对经济增长的作用 7 2.1.2 旅游服务贸易中人力资本积累的作用 8 2.2 就业效应 9 2.2.1 服务贸易对就业的促进作用 9 2.2.2 旅游服务贸易就业率对经济增长的促进作用 9 2.3 物质资本积累效应