农户售粮行为及其影响因素的实例分析.pdfVIP

吉林农业大学学 2011，04 Journal of Jilin Agricultural University E-mail:jlndxb@ 农户售粮行为及其影响因素的实证分析* ——基于对吉林省 258 个农户的调查 杨子刚，郭庆海** 吉林农业大学经济管理学院，长春 130118 摘 要：依据吉林省榆树、农安等 21 个市县农户的 258 份调查数据，对农户售粮对象——粮食经纪人和粮食加工企业进行 意愿影响因素的对比分析。结果表明：农户粮食销售给粮食经纪人，存储设施、运送粮食方式、距离粮库远近等变量回归 系数与Logistic 的线性显著性明显；农户粮食销售给粮食加工企业，粮食产量、运送粮食方式、对粮价的满意程度3 个变 量回归系数与 Logistic 的线性显著性明显。其中，运送粮食方式对农户将粮食销售给粮食经纪人和粮食加工企业影响都显 著。 关键词：农户；Logistic 模型；粮食经纪人；粮食加工企业；吉林省 中图分类号：F307.11 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1000-5684 （2011 ） DOI: 网络出版地址： Positive Analysis of Peasant Households’ Grain Selling Behavior and Its Influencing Factors —Based on the Analysis of a Survey of 258 Peasant Households in Jilin Province YANG Zi-gang, GUO Qing-hai College of Economic Management, Jilin Agricultural University, Changchun 130118，China Abstract: This article is based on 258 survey data obtained from 21 cities and counties including Yushu, Nong an, etc. in Jilin province. It analyzes the factors influencing peasant households choices between grain brokers and food processing enterprises when they want to sell grain. The results show that peasant households’ grain selling to brokers depends on the factors of facilities of storage ，means of grain delivery and distance from grain depots whose regression coefficients are significantly obvious in the model of Logit. Peasant households’ grain selling to food ， processing enterprises also depends on the factors of grain production means of grain delivery and satisfaction of the price whose regression coefficients are significantly obvious in the model of Logit. Means of grain delivery obviously influences both food brokers and food processing enterp