对华北锢囚锋的数值预报模拟分析.pdfVIP

对华北锢囚锋个例的数值模拟分析 硕十论文 提 要 华北锢囚锋是造成我国华北地区冬春两季降雨的主要影响 系统。目前，虽然目前已经建立起了华北锢囚锋天气学模型， 但仍有很多问题需要人们去进一步的探索，尤其对于华北锢囚 锋的胜 3虽度预报更是工作中的难点· 本文通过非静力中尺度模式hU45模式对1998年11月20- 21日的华北锢囚锋形成进行数值试验及分析表明: 本次锢囚锋是西路弱冷空气与东路冷空气相遇时，沿着东 路冷空气垫向上爬升，形成在空间尺度上小于典型温带气旋锢囚 锋的锢囚锋结构;暴雪区位于能量锋的东北侧，即高能舌顶部靠 近干冷空气的地方;潜热释放对锢囚锋的维持起一定的作用。 地形起着阻挡冷空气南压和堆积东路冷空气的作用， 从而加强锢囚锋结构的作用。去掉太行山，会比加入地形 时形成锢囚锋的时间偏早，地点偏西，强度偏弱。太行山的存在， 对本次锢囚锋生成发展起至关重要的作用。锢囚锋所造成的降水 落区与锢囚锋性质 (暖性)有关降水位置、强度与三支气流的位 置、强度以及中高空降水系统配置有关，就三支气流而言，偏南 风急流的强度与雨强成正相关。 对华北锢囚锋个例的数值模拟分析 硕十论文 Abstract TheoccludedfrontinNorthChinaisthemainsystem thatinfluencestheprecipitationinthewinterandspringof NorthChina.Althoughthesynopticmodelfortheoccluded front in North China has been founded, further investigationofthemechanismisstillneeded,especiallythe difficultyfortheforecastoftheprecipitationintensityof theoccludedfrontinNorthChina. Byusingthenon-staticmesoscalemodelMM5,the formingprocessoftheoccludedfrontinNorthChina duringtheperiodofNovember20-21, 1998isnumerically simulated. Awarm occludedfrontwasformedwhenweak thecold airfrom westmetthecold airfrom eastand ascendedalongthecoldairfromeast.Thesnowstormarea wasattheNortheastoftheenergyfrontwherethetopofthe high-energytongueiscloseto.thedrycoldair.Thenthe isoenergysurfacesankneartheoccludedpointwhich correspondedtothedownwardhighenergytongue.Itis shownfrom thesensitivityteststhatthecondensedlatent heatplayedamaintainingroleinintensifyingtheoccluded frontin North China.The topography blocked the southwardcoldairandbankedtheeastcoldair,thusthe structureoftheoccludedfrontedwasintensifiedwiththe presentationofthetopography.Ifnotopography,the occludedfrontedwhichisweakerwillform earlieratthe westernsideofnormalplace.Thelocationandintensityof precipitationcause