水驱抽油机井管杆偏磨可靠性模糊故障树分析.pdfVIP

水驱抽油机井管杆偏磨可靠性 模糊故障树分析 ●张孟斌薛春芳 _大庆石油学院机械系(大庆163318) _毳轰管道研矧廊坊一， 捕赛应用模糊集运算规则及性质构建模糊故障树模型．采用最小和曩大模糊算子简化故障树结构函数的计算过程。从概率结构重要度 的定叉出发．通过语言变量表迭底事件发生状志的模糊性，将底事件随机发生时的模糊性考虑进拳．从而使故障树分析中。将底事件发生的 随机桂和模期性同对处理成为可能。利用模糊距鼻概念．将底事件姑构重要度概念从概率空闻推广到模糊集中，得到模糊距离重要度。这 样．当底事件发生状态不能明确规定时．模糊距离重要度在评价其贡献方面是非常有效地。通过对水疆抽油机井管杆偏磨失效模糊故障树 实倒分析．找虫发生管抒馅磨失效酶曩薄弱环节，为科学活理扫有燕控制爹抒偏蘑失蛀．牵低水骚抽油机井检泵丰提供充分依据。 关键词抽油机井菅抒偏磨可靠性模糊故障树模糊重要度 AbstractA faulttreemodel’isestablished therulesend of set the fault fuzzy byapplying pmportiesfuzzyoperation，andcomputational pmce鼬of tree’Bstructuralfunctionis minimumandmaximum definitionof atmcture simplifiedbyapplying operatom．Based∞theprobabilityimportance． thefuzzinessofbottomevent be informofverbalvariablesandthefuzzinessofrandom of bottom happeningmay expressed happening even协may betakeninto it tohandle therandomnessandfuzzinessofbottomevent consideration。thuspossible simultaneously making OCCUnrCnce．’n地impor- talI∞of distance啪beobtained tIIe ofstructural ofbottomeventfmm the fuzzy byextending importance fuzzyset．in concept pmbebility删tO ofthe of distance．Inthis the Stateofabottomeve∞ttcannotbedetermined of light conceptfuzzy way，whenhappening clearly。theimportance tree distanceis effectivein its a fault ofside-abrasionfailureofsuckerrodofwater- fuzzy very evaluatingcontribution．Bymakingfuzzy analysis to found for drive weak