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Continental moisture recycling as a Poisson process.doc

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Continental moisture recycling as a Poisson process

Hydrol.EarthSyst.Sci.Discuss.,10,5057–5076,2013 /10/5057/2013/ doi:10.5194/hessd-10-5057-2013 Hydrology and Earth System Sciences HESSD ?Author(s)2013.CCAttribution3.0License. 10,5057–5076,2013 Discussions Thisdiscussionpaperis/hasbeenunderreviewforthejournalHydrologyandEarthSystem Sciences(HESS).Pleaserefertothecorresponding?nalpaperinHESSifavailable. Continentalmoisture recyclingas aPoissonprocess H.F.Goesslingand C.H.Reick Continentalmoisturerecyclingas aPoissonprocess TitlePage H.F.Goessling1,2,*andC.H.Reick1 Abstract Conclusions Tables Introduction References Figures 1MaxPlanckInstituteforMeteorology,Hamburg,Germany 2InternationalMaxPlanckResearchSchoolonEarthSystemModelling,Hamburg,Germany *nowat:AlfredWegenerInstituteHelmholtzCenterforPolarandMarineResearch, Bremerhaven,Germany J J I I Received:10April2013–Accepted:15April2013–Published:19April2013 Correspondenceto:H.F.Goessling(helge.goessling@awi.de) Back Close PublishedbyCopernicusPublicationsonbehalfoftheEuropeanGeosciencesUnion. FullScreen/Esc Printer-friendlyVersion InteractiveDiscussion 5057 Abstract HESSD On their journey across large land masses, water molecules experience a number of precipitation-evaporation cycles (recycling events). We derive analytically the fre- quencydistributionsofrecyclingeventsforthewatermoleculescontainedinagiven air parcel. Given the validity of certain simplifying assumptions, continental moisture recyclingisshowntodevelopeitherintoaPoissondistributionorageometricdistribu- tion. 10,5057–5076,2013 Continentalmoisture recyclingas aPoissonprocess 5 Wedistinguishtwocases:incase(A)recyclingeventsarecountedsincethewater moleculeswerelastadvectedacrosstheocean-landboundary.Incase(B)recycling H.F.Goesslingand C.H.Reick 10 eventsarecountedsincethewatermoleculeswerelastevaporatedfromtheocean. For case B we show by means of a simple scale analysis that, given the conditions onEarth,realisticfrequencydistributionsmayberegardedasamixtureofaPoisson distribution and a geometric