Rogun Dam—Path to Energy Independence or Security Threat 英文参考文献.docVIP

Sustainability 2011, 3, 1573-1592; doi:10.3390/su3091573 OPEN ACCESS sustainability ISSN 2071-1050 /journal/sustainability Article Rogun Dam—Path to Energy Independence or Security Threat? Bahtiyor R. Eshchanov 1,*, Mona Grinwis Plaat Stultjes 1, Sanaatbek K. Salaev 2 and Ruzumboy A. Eshchanov 2 1 Vrije Universiteit Brussels, Pleinlaan 2, Brussels 1050, Belgium; E-Mail: mona.grinwis@vub.ac.be 2 Urgench State University, Hamid Alimjan street 14, Urgench, Khorezm 220100, Uzbekistan; E-Mails: ruzimboy@mail.ru (R.A.E.); prof.salaev@ (S.K.S.) * Author to whom correspondence should be addressed; E-Mail: bahtiyor.eshchanov@vub.ac.be; Tel.: +32-488-255-166. Received: 26 August 2011; in revised form: 10 September 2011 / Accepted: 14 September 2011 / Published: 22 September 2011 Abstract: The revitalization of the Rogun hydropower station project and launch of an Initial Public Offering has led the water-energy disputes between Tajikistan and Uzbekistan to a new stage. While two riparian states advocate their positions from their own perspective, it gives the impression of being a “prisoners’ dilemma” case from a regional cooperation point. This paper aims to review the decision of project revitalization from the unconventional security perspective, focusing mainly on its impact on Tajikistan. The scope will be limited to economic, energy, social and political security. The paper attempts to reveal the existing unconventional security threats and suggest possible solutions for the arising problems. Keywords: water-energy trade-off; unconventional security; opportunity costs; Tajikistan; Uzbekistan; Central Asia 1. Introduction How to adequately meet growing energy needs is a vital question for every nation. The Central Asian (CA) republics, endowed with abundant natural resources and Soviet inherited energy systems, have their own path of energy policy, non-diverseness being the c