Search Filters for Finding Prognostic and Diagnostic Prediction Studies in Medline to Enhance Systematic Reviews 英文参考文献.docVIP

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Search Filters for Finding Prognostic and Diagnostic Prediction Studies in Medline to Enhance Systematic Reviews 英文参考文献.doc

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Search Filters for Finding Prognostic and Diagnostic Prediction Studies in Medline to Enhance Systematic Reviews 英文参考文献

SearchFiltersforFindingPrognosticandDiagnostic PredictionStudiesinMedlinetoEnhanceSystematic Reviews Geert-JanGeersing1*.,WalterBouwmeester1.,PeterZuithoff1,ReneSpijker2,4,MariskaLeeflang3,4 , KarelMoons1 1JuliusCenterforHealthSciencesandPrimaryCare,UniversityMedicalCenterUtrecht,Utrecht,TheNetherlands,2MedicalLibraryAcademicMedicalCenter,University ofAmsterdam,Amsterdam,TheNetherlands,3DepartmentofClinicalEpidemiologyandBio-Informatics,AcademicMedicalCenter,UniversityofAmsterdam,Amsterdam, TheNetherlands,4DutchCochraneCenter,AcademicMedicalCenter,UniversityofAmsterdam,Amsterdam,TheNetherlands Abstract Background:Theinterestinprognosticreviewsisincreasing,buttoproperlyreviewexistingevidenceanaccuratesearch filerforfindingpredictionresearchisneeded.Theaimofthispaperwastovalidateandupdatetwopreviouslyintroduced searchfiltersforfindingpredictionresearchinMedline:theInguifilterandtheHaynesBroadfilter. Methodology/PrincipalFindings:Basedonahandsearchof6generaljournalsin2008weconstructedtwosetsofpapers. Set1consistedofpredictionresearchpapers(n=71),andset2consistedoftheremainingpapers(n=1133).Bothsearch filterswerevalidatedintwoways,usingdiagnosticaccuracymeasuresasperformancemeasures.First,wecomparedstudies inset1(reference)withstudiesretrievedbythesearchstrategiesasappliedinMedline.Second,wecomparedstudiesfrom 4publishedsystematicreviews(reference)withstudiesretrievedbythesearchfilterasappliedinMedline.Next–using wordfrequencymethods–weconstructedanadditionalsearchstringforfindingpredictionresearch.Bothsearchfilters weregoodinidentifyingclinicalpredictionmodels:sensitivityrangedfrom0.94to1.0usingourhandsearchasreference, and0.78to0.89usingthesystematicreviewsasreference.Thislatterperformancemeasureevenincreasedtoaround0.95 (range0.90to0.97)wheneithersearchfilterwascombinedwiththeadditionalstringthatwedeveloped.Retrievalrateof explorative prediction research was poor, both using our hand search or our systematic review as reference, and even combinedwithouradditionalse