沥青路面模糊随机可靠度分析.pdfVIP

学兔兔 第35卷，第5期 公 路 工 程 Vo1．35．No．5 2 0 l 0年 1 0月 Highway Engineering 0ct．．2 0 1 0 沥青路面模糊随机可靠度分析 蒋建国，张家生 (中南大学 土木建筑学院，湖南 长沙 410075) [摘 要]在传统可靠度理论的基础上，分析了沥青路面模糊随机可靠度。其参数及失效均采用模糊集，推导 的可靠指标与失效概率也是模糊集。对沥青路面模型进行了计算，并就结果进行了比较，结果表明，在所有抗力项 目中，弯沉盆可靠度指标的值最小，即破坏可能性最大。同时与一般可靠性理论计算的结果比较可知，基层下部的 弯沉盆和应力才是最弱的项目。因而从模糊随机可靠度的观点来看，在沥青路面中将得出更好的结果。同时结果 表明，当参数和准则考虑模糊特性时，可靠指标将是一个连续变量，并在限制水平接近 1时达到最大值，这与工程 实际是一致的。从结果可知，提出的方法更接近工程实际。 [关键词】模糊随机可靠度；沥青路面；不确定性；可靠度；极限状态 [中图分类号]U 416．217 [文献标识码]A [文章编号]1674—0610(2010)05—0063—04 Analysis of Fuzzy—random Reliability of asphalt pavement JIANG Jianguo，ZHANG Jiasheng (School of civil engineering and architecture，central south university，Changsha，Hunan 410075，China) [Abstract]The fuzzy-random probability is carefully analyzed based on the traditional probability theory focused on asphalt pavement．And the parameters are described as fuzzy set；the value of criterion is also defined as fuzzy set．The failure probability and the index of probability are also deduced with fuzzy set．An asphalt pavement model is calculated and the results are contrasted in this paper，the re— suhs show that deflection item would be the most probability failure in all the resistant capacity items． Compared with the normal index of probability，we would know that the deflection basin and stress of an— der base layer would be the weak items，it’S easy to exeeed the resistant capacity when considered de- flection basin．So，from the viewpoint of fuzzy-random reliabil