财务管理与财务分析运营管理课件APPT.ppt

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财务管理与财务分析运营管理课件APPT.ppt

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财务管理与财务分析运营管理课件APPT

Small facility Large facility Low demand [0.4] Don’t expand Expand $200 $223 $270 High demand [0.6] 1 2 Drawing the TreeExample A.8 continued Small facility Large facility 1 Low demand [0.4] Low demand [0.4] Don’t expand Expand Do nothing Advertise $200 $223 $270 $40 $800 Modest response [0.3] Sizable response [0.7] $20 $220 High demand [0.6] High demand [0.6] 2 3 Completed DrawingExample A.8 Solving Decision #3 Example A.8 Low demand [0.4] Small facility Large facility Low demand [0.4] Don’t expand Expand Do nothing Advertise $200 $223 $270 $40 $800 Modest response [0.3] Sizable response [0.7] $20 $220 High demand [0.6] High demand [0.6] 1 2 3 0.3 x $20 = $6 0.7 x $220 = $154 $6 + $154 = $160 Don’t expand Expand Do nothing Advertise $200 $223 $270 $40 $800 $160 Low demand [0.4] Small facility Large facility Low demand [0.4] Modest response [0.3] Sizable response [0.7] $20 $220 High demand [0.6] High demand [0.6] 1 2 3 Solving Decision #3 Example A.8 $160 $160 Modest response [0.3] Sizable response [0.7] $20 $220 Solving Decision #2 Example A.8 Expanding has a higher value. Low demand [0.4] $160 Small facility Large facility Low demand [0.4] Don’t expand Expand Do nothing Advertise $200 $223 $270 $40 $800 High demand [0.6] High demand [0.6] 1 2 3 $270 $470 x 0.4 = $80 x 0.6 = $162 $242 $160 Low demand [0.4] $270 $160 Small facility Large facility Low demand [0.4] Don’t expand Expand Do nothing Advertise $200 $223 $270 $40 $800 Modest response [0.3] Sizable response [0.7] $20 $220 High demand [0.6] High demand [0.6] 1 2 3 Solving Decision #1 Example A.8 Solving Decision #1 Example A.8 $242 $160 Low demand [0.4] $270 $160 Small facility Large facility Low demand [0.4] Don’t expand Expand Do nothing Advertise $200 $223 $270 $40 $800 Modest response [0.3] Sizable response [0.7] $20 $220 High demand [0.6] High demand [0.6] 1 2 3 x 0.