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Forcing Fields Derived from Arctic Surface Biases in CAM3 Richard Grojahn and Linlin Pan Dept. of LAWR, Univ. of California, Davis With assistance from Grant Branstator and Joe Tribbia Introduction Biases in wintertime Arctic surface fields have resisted model improvements and are similar in CCM, CAM, and CCSM runs. Sea level pressure (SLP) is: too low in the Beaufort Sea too high (or less low depending on the model and version) in the Barents Sea. too low in N. Atlantic, Baltic, W. Russia SLP bias is also strongly linked to topography, especially Greenland Is the bias an NAO or AO? Superficial similarity, but probably not. The model’s fundamental SLP EOF has only a small projection onto the SLP bias. Some Hypotheses Frequency and Intensity of mid-latitude frontal cyclones: The stationary wave model solutions forced by transient eddy fluxes and associated diabatic heating extends into the Arctic region. Compared to observations, recent versions of NCAR models tend to have too many and too intense frontal cyclones. Surface drag: Surface roughness and boundary layer drag over Alaska and Eastern Siberia may be too small (no difference between flat plain and mountainous regions) allowing too much low-level flow between Arctic and northern Pacific. Topography: Similar to surface drag in that interaction with the Pacific may be too easy. In this case, ‘small’ mountain ranges in Eastern Siberia and Alaska (such as the Brooks range) are poorly resolved including their envelope height. Resolution on the spherical surface: Model (grid) may be tuned for middle latitudes and tropics, higher resolution in Arctic may cause misrepresentation of SLP (and other variables) over Arctic region. Linear Model to Study Bias Linear model (Branstator, 1990) to calculate forcing sufficient to generate parts of the bias field. Model variables: T, ζ, Div, Q (ln of sfc pres.) Model used two ways: Input bias field and find forcing. Can input subset of bias Input forcing and find so
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