冰雪条件下基于行程时间可靠性的路网恢复问题分析-analysis of road network restoration problem based on travel time reliability under ice and snow conditions.docxVIP

哈尔滨工业大学工学硕士学位论文 哈尔滨工业大学工学硕士学位论文 Abstract Urban road traffic system is an important guarantee of social and economic development. Urban road network will be affected by various of weather conditions as an Infrastructure facilities under natural conditions. This paper analyzed the characteristics of traffic flow in urban road traffic system under snow and ice weather. Based on the survey data of various parameters and with the theory research and fully data support this paper discusses the urban road network stability under snow and ice weather, aiming at lying the corresponding theoretical basis for calculation and evaluation of city road network reliability. This article firstly make comprehensive analysis of the snow weather itself and the affection on traffic environment. this paper separated the urban road network into two units, links and intersections. Based on the data this paper proved the variation tendency of traffic flow parameter under snow and ice weather. Secondly, Based on the analysis of the variation tendency of traffic flow parameter and regression, presented corresponding models to calculate their travel time. With a Systematically review the travel time reliability model pre-existing, this paper integrated the advantage of previously work and built the link and section expected travel time model, offering the guarantee for solving of travel time reliability. This paper also analyze the urban road traffic system travel time reliability under snow and ice weather step-by-step based on the integrated unit of urban road. Finally, a double-layer model which express the capacity recovery program optimizing is given, whose upper layer aims at maximization of the urban road traffic system travel time reliability, and the lower level solving the traffic volume assignment problem. To propose the preferred plan and providing a theoretical basis for decision maker by solving the model. Keywords: ice and snow conditions, urban road network, travel time reliabi