房地产市场理性泡沫与非理性泡沫辨析-数量经济学专业论文.docxVIP

ANALYSIS ON RATIONAL BUBBLE AND IRRATIONAL BUBBLE IN REAL ESTATE ABSTRACT Current real estate industry is in a stage of rapid development, with significant growth in the national economy and improving peoples living conditions, a variety of real estate problems have gradually emerged, mainly real estate prices rose too fast, thus triggering the real estate bubble debate. As the real estate industry association with a stronger degree, affect the broad, covering all sectors of the national economy, about peoples immediate interests and financial security, can affect the operation of the whole economic system. If the real estate bubble, which may affect the healthy development of the national economy, the degree is too large bubble bubble to trigger an economic crisis. Therefore, the real estate market bubble theories, both from theory and from a practical point of view, has far-reaching significance. This paper summarizes the theory of international real estate bubble, real estate market situation in our country, choose the expectations, speculation, irrational behavior and other factors, whether the real estate market bubble and mechanism analysis, and then through the empirical analysis to explain the causes of the real estate bubble. In this study, based on the real estate bubble caused by various factors and summarized, explained the real estate market bubble and the rational model of irrational bubbles, rational bubbles Analysis of the real estate bubble and non-rational meaning. Finally, how the real estate bubble the government effective control, given the specific strategies and measures. KEY WORDS:real estate bubble,anticipation, rational bubble in real estate, irrational bubble in real estate ii 原创性声明 本人郑重声明:所呈交的学位论文，是本人在导师指导下，进行研究工作所取得的成 果。除文中已经注明引用的内容外，本学位论文不包含任何他人或集体已经发表的作品内 容，也不包含本人为获得其他学位而使用过的材料。对本论文所涉及的研究工作做出贡献 的其他个人或集体，均己在文中以明确方式标明。本学位论文原创性声明的法律责任出本 人承担。 学位以作者签名: 点毛 H期: 2-ο/ο .12_ J-2- 关于学位论文版权使用授权的说明 本人完全了解河北工业大学关于收集、保存、使用学位论文的以下规定:学校有权采 用影印、缩印 、 扫描