环境规制对我国产业结构变迁的影响研究-应用经济学·产业经济学专业论文.docxVIP

摘要 I 摘要 随着环境的变化和资源的逐渐衰竭，我国为协调经济发展与环境保护间的 矛盾，制定并实施了数量众多的环境规制。与此同时，我国产业结构也经历了 较大变化。那么，环境规制对我国产业结构变迁是否产生影响？若有影响，其 传导路径是什么，不同类型环境规制对我国产业结构变迁的影响又是否存在差 异呢？ 本文首先在前人研究的基础上，总结出环境规制主要是基于需求、技术创 新和国际贸易影响着产业结构变迁。然后，分析我国环境规制和产业结构变迁 状况，发现环境规制的实施已取得一定的效果，但环境问题依旧严峻，各地区 产业结构大多不合理。紧接着，选取 2003-2012 各省年度数据，运用静态面板 模型，实证探讨不同类型的环境规制分别对我国产业结构合理化和高级化的影 响，并比较东中西部地区估计结果。结果表明：费用型环境规制促进产业结构 的高级化，对合理化发展存在一定的阻碍作用，但未通过显著性检验；投资型 环境规制强度与产业结构合理化和高级化水平均呈倒“U”型关系，即投资型 环境规制在一定范围内有利于产业结构优化升级，规制强度过高反而会产生一 定的抑制作用。此外，东中西部地区估计结果存在较大差异。最后，依据研究 结论提出相关建议，并指明进一步研究方向。 关键词：环境规制 产业结构变迁 传导路径 静态面板模型  Abstract  PAGE 6 Abstract With environmental degradation and the gradual exhaustion of resources, our country is developing and implementing many different styles of environmental regulation to coordinate the contradictions between economic growth and environmental protection. At the same time, Chinas industrial structure has undergone major changes. Do these environmental regulations have any effects on the changes of industrial structure? If they do, what are transmission paths, and are there any differences between different styles of environmental regulation on the industrial structure change in china? On the basis of previous studies, first of all, this paper summarizes that due to the market demand, technology innovation and international trade, environmental regulation has proven impacts on industrial structure change. Then, we analyze the implementation of the environmental regulation and the situation of industrial structure change. It is shown that environmental regulation had exerted a significant positive effect, but the environment problem is still serious, and industrial structure is not reasonable in most regions. And then, we selected data in thirty provinces from 2003 to 2012, using static panel model to empirically test the effects on industrial structure rationalization and industrial structure optimization made separately by different styles of environmental regulation, and compares the differences