基于脆弱性的城市应急能力动态评价研究-技术经济及管理专业论文.docxVIP

for emergency management, which is of great theoretical significance and practical significance. This paper introduces the method of second relative evaluation based on DEA into the dynamic evaluation of urban emergency response capacity, which could eliminate the impact of different condition of urban emergency response capacity. The dynamic evaluation model not only could reflect the absolute level of urban emergency response capability, but also takes into account the different condition of urban-based emergency system. The result could reflect cities’ effort in emergency capability-building, thus reflects the developing trends of cities’ emergency response capability. This paper uses urban vulnerability evaluation result to amend the evaluation result of emergency response capacity. Different vulnerability, the requirement of emergency response capacity is also different. This paper uses urban vulnerability index to amend urban emergency capability evaluation index, which makes evaluation results more scientific and reasonable. This paper conducts an empirical study on emergency response capability of 30 cities. The study shows that the second relative evaluation method is a useful means to analyze urban emergency response capability dynamically. The study also shows that, compared with urban vulnerability, our urban emergency response capability doesn’t achieve corresponding level. KEY WORDS: emergency response capability, vulnerability, emergency management, evaluation system, dynamic evaluation 上海交通大学 学位论文原创性声明 本人郑重声明：所呈交的学位论文，是本人在导师的指导下，独立进行研究工作所取得的成 果。除文中已经注明引用的内容外，本论文不包含任何其他个人或集体已经发表或撰写过的 作品成果。对本文的研究做出重要贡献的个人和集体，均已在文中以明确方式标明。本人完 全意识到本声明的法律结果由本人承担。 学位论文作者签名： 日期： 年 月 日 上海交通大学 学位论文版权使用授权书 本学位论文作者完全了解学校有关保留、使用学位论文的规定，同意学校保留并向国家有关 部门或机构送交论文的复印件和电子版，允许论文被查阅和借阅。本人授权上海交通大学可 以将本学位论文的全部或部分内容编入有关数据库进行检索，可以采用影印、缩印或扫描等 复制手段保存和汇编本学位论文。 保密□，在 年解密后适用本授权书。 本学位论文属于 不保密□。 （请在以上方框内打“√”） 学位论文作者签名： 指导教师签名： 日期： 年 月 日 日期： 年 月 日 基于脆弱性的城市应急能力动态评价研究 基于脆弱性的城市应急能力动态评价研究 PA