哈尔滨市水文要素复杂性测度与预测研究-农业工程；农业水土工程专业论文.docxVIP

CONSTENTSCONTENTS CONSTENTS CONTENTS Abstract in Chinese “I Abstract in English “IIl I Introduction 1 1．1 Basis for setting subject ·l 1．2 Purpose and significance of research 1 1．3 Research progress in domestic and overseas ·：z 1．3．1 Research progress ofcomplexity science 一3 1．3．2 Research progress of multifractal． · ··3 1．3．3 Research progress in hydrological forecasting ． ··5 1．4 Problems in research 6 1．5 Research contents ．6 1．6 Technology route 6 2 Multifractal measurement of hydrological factors in Harbin · - · ·8 2．1 Study area ·8 2．2 Study method ． · 8 2．2．1 EMD method ．．8 2．2．2 EMD．DFA ．． ．．．． ． ． ．8 2．2．3 Multifractal spectrum ·9 2．3 Multifractal measurement ofprecipitation in Harbin ·10 2．4 Multifractal measurement ofgroundwater in Harbin ·15 2．5 Multifractal measurement ofevaporation in Harbin 21 2．6 Chapter summary ． 一27 3 Comparison of complexity measurement methods ．． ··28 3．1 Lempel-Ziv complexity measurement method ·28 3．2 Approximate entropy ． ··29 3．3 Comparison ofthe noise immunity performance ·29 3．4 Chapter summary ． ． ． ．54 4 The time variation of the complexity of the hydrological factors in Harbin 35 4．1 Time variation characteristics of precipitation complexity ··35 4．2 Time variation characteristics of groundwater depth complexity ·38 4．3 Time variation characteristics of evaporation complexity 40 4．4 Chapter summary 42 5 Study the development trend of hydrological factors in Harbin ··43 5．1 Briefintroduction ofBP neural network prediction model ··43 5．2 Introduction ofARIMA prediction model · ··43 5．3 Prediction of hydrological factors in Harbin ··44 III 万方数据 东北农业大学工学硕士学位论文5．3．1 东北农业大学工学硕士学位论文 5．3．1 Prediction of complex precipitation series in Harbin．．． ．． ．．．．．．．．．．． ．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．． ．．． 44 5．3。2 Prediction ofcomplex groundwater series in Harbin．．．．．． ．．．．．．． ．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．． ． ．．．47 5．3．3 Predict