林业资源型城市伊春经济可持续发展动态模拟研究-管理科学与工程专业论文.docxVIP

东北朴业人学顺Ij学位论文Abstract 东北朴业人学顺Ij学位论文 Abstract ’Ihe resource。based clty is klnd of clty that has special functions．。rhese cities were built or deVeloped more quickly fbr the resource exploited．Yichun is one of the most important country-Owned forestry areas and the forestry industfy base，which was called the home of the pine trees，and also was one of the biggest forestry resource-based cities．1t went thfough the building，the deVeloping，and the declining periOds．But at present the forests that can be cut I down are fewer’so that the fofestry industries are Very difficult，and the situation has been very hard fbr the economic actiVities for the people there and the sustaindble deVelopment of the city． Under such background，this paper does research on the problem of the sustainable deVelopment in the fores￡ry resource-based cityfind Ihe rela“onship between the cut of lhe forest and economic develOpment，and the problems in the economic develop process and the reasons of the declining．Then I construct the dynamic model of the sustainable development in economic in Yichun，in order to find the recjprocities among the population，resource and economics to proVide more scientific data t0 the deciders。From the model，we can get the sustainable mode in the forestry resource-based cities． In the meanwhile，I introduce the System Dynamics to the research on the economic sustainable deVelopment in the forestry resource—based cjty；which introduce a new method to the area． The characteristic of the System Dynamics is that it analyzes the problem from its structure．’rhe principle of it is that the structure decides the fhnction．1’his paper analyzes the system structure Of the economic sustainable deVelopment in Yichun，draws the causalloops of the syslem，dfaws the flow diagram of lhe syslem，and then input the equalions ofthe variables． The initial data of the model is the data of 2000．The constant Variables and the auxiliary Variables are decided by the means of equal，trend extrapolation，o