雷州半岛农业旱灾脆弱性研究-自然地理学专业论文.docxVIP

广州大学硕士学位论文Abstract． 广州大学硕士学位论文 Abstract． Drought is a main agriculture disaster in Leizhou Peninsula with high frequency,wide area，large intensity and heavy losses．It effects unavailable on the subtropical agricultural foundation and regional sustainable development．There are many factors which influence the disaster such as rich summer precipitation，intense winter-spring evaporation， insufficient irrigation，inefficient water using，irrational plant structure．Winter and spring drought is common in Lcizhou Peninsula and the southern is the most serious． Agriculture drought disaster vulnerability(ADDV)is systematically analyzed on the basis of forming factors．An appraisement index system is established according to AHP and the condition of Lcizhou Peninsula．Drought index，irrigation index，GDP,peasant’ income are the most important among the system．A database about geographic information and natural disaster of Leizhou Peninsula is built for the appraisement of ADDV．Original data comes from field investigation and statistical information．Index weights are defined by the judgment matrix．ADDV of Leizhou Peninsula during 1962～ 2004 period is evaluated by the AHP and divided into three grades，i．e．10w,middle and high grades． ADDV is fluctuant decreased during the 43 years．ADDV is the hjghest in the early—middle stages of 1960’and 1980’and the lowest in the late stages of 1970’．ADDV has a middle grade trend since 1985，especially in 21 century．The regional difference of ADDV is obvious in Leizhou Peninsula．Xuwen county，Leizhou city,Suixi county in the southern is higher than Wuchuan city,Zhanjian city,Lianjiang city in the northern．The ADDV influence factors can be classified into two types，susceptibility and restoration． ADDV change result from their interaction and increases with the restoration and decreases with the susceptibility． Key words：drought disaster，ADDV,ADDV grade，AHP,Leizhou Peninsula II 广州大学学位论文原创性声明本人郑重声明： 广州大学学位论文原创性声明 本人郑重声明： 所呈交的学位论文，是本人在导师的指 导下， 独立进行研究工作所取得