皖北地区供水安全综合评价.docxVIP

皖北地区供水安全综合评价王怡宁1 ，孙乐强2 ，王振龙3 ，刘猛3( 皖北地区供水安全综合评价 王怡宁1 ，孙乐强2 ，王振龙3 ，刘 猛3 ( 1. 四川农业大学 信息与工程技术学院，四川 雅安 625000; 2. 河海大学 水文水资源与水利工程科学国家 重点实验室，江苏 南京 210098; 3. 安徽省水利水资源重点实验室，安徽 蚌埠 233000) 摘 要: 从供水条件及潜力、实际供水保障、生态环境保障和抗风险能力四个方面，建立了适用于皖北 地区供水安全评价指标体系，利用基于模糊层次分析法( FAHP) 的层次模糊综合评价模型评价了皖北地 区阜阳、宿州、淮北、淮南、蚌埠、亳州六市的供水安全现状。结果表明，皖北地区供水安全现状总体 处于一般和较不安全之间的水平，且抗风险能力最为薄弱。6 市供水安全程度排序依次为淮南、蚌埠、 亳州、宿州、淮北和阜阳，其中阜阳市为供水最不安全，并根据各市水资源状况提出安全供水方案。 关键词: 皖北地区; 供水安全; 供水指标; 模糊层次分析法( FAHP) ; 供水方案 中图分类号: TV211( 254) 文献标识码: A 文章编号: 1000-0860( 2012) 01-0030-05 Comprehensive assessment on water supply safety within region of North Anhui WANG Yining1 ，SUN Leqiang2 ，WANG Zhenlong3 ，LIU Meng3 ( 1. School of Information and Engineering，Sichuan Agricultural University，Ya’an 625000，Sichuan，China; 2. State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering，Hohai University，Nanjing 210098，Jiangsu，China; 3. Anhui and Huaihe River Water Resources Research Institute，Bengbu 233000，Anhui，China) Abstract: An index system for assessment on water supply safety suitable for the region of the North Anhui is established from the aspects of the water supply condition and potential，actual water supply guarantee，eco-environment guarantee and risk resistance capacity，and then the water supply safety status of six cities，i. e. Fuyang，Suzhou，Huaibei，Huainan，Bengbu and Bozhou are assessed with the fuzzy analytical hierarchy processing ( FAHP) based fuzzy hierarchy comprehensive assessment model. The re- sult shows that the water supply safety status of the region is generally on a level between the normal and a little bit unsafe with a most weak risk resistance capacity; for which the order of the safety degrees of the six cities is to be Huainan，Bengbu，Bozhou， Suzhou，Huaibei and Fuyang in turn，therefore，the safe water supply schemes for all the cities concerned are put forward in ac- cordance with the actual status therein as well. Key words: reg