操作管理决策工具.pptxVIP

;Operations ManagementDecision-Making ToolsModule A;Outline;Learning Objectives;Models, and the Techniques of Scientific Management Can Help Managers To:;Steps to Good Decisions;Advantages of Using Models;Limitations of Models;决策过程The Decision-Making Process;;;决策论Fundamentals of Decision Theory;;替代方案;确定环境下的决策;概率性决策Probabilistic decision situation 不同状况的概率性决策States of nature have probabilities of occurrence 选择最大的金钱期望回报Select alternative with largest expected monetary value (EMV) Average return for alternative If decision were repeated many times;不确定环境下的决策;不确定环境下的决策;不确定环境下的决策;;;EMV;以图解进行决策Gr