吸毒人员与家庭之间博弈分析.pdfVIP

中文摘要 吸毒人员的复吸问题一直是困扰世界范围内戒毒工作者 的难题，在影响复吸的环境因素中家庭因素起到至关重要的作 用，开展对吸毒人员和家庭之间关系的研究是解决当前毒品问 题的迫切需要。 本研究从影响吸毒人员复吸的家庭因素角度出发，首次采 用博弈论的方法分析吸毒人员与家庭之间的关系。本研究基于 双方主体利益建立博弈模型，对吸毒人员和家庭关于重复博弈 的最优决策行为进行分析，找到吸毒人员不断复吸的深层次原 因，探索并得出吸毒人员和家庭之间在复吸问题上决策的行为 规律。本研究为探讨复吸问题在分析方法上拓宽了思路，为家 庭干预戒毒提供了科学的理论指导，为降低复吸率、解决毒品 问题也有一定的现实意义。 研究结论：吸毒人员和家庭是相互影响、相互制约的两个 方面；吸毒人员和家庭的短期行为会导致家庭排斥、吸毒人员 复吸的恶性循环；吸毒人员和家庭对于能否彻底戒断的不可预 期性会产生双方的合作趋势；社会上普遍认同的复吸率会直接 影响吸毒人员和家庭所选择的重复博弈战略，双方的战略反过 来又会间接影响整体复吸率。 关键词：吸毒人员；家庭；博弈 iv Abstract The relapse of the drug users has always been a tough problem bothers the drug rehabilitation workers. Since the important role of the family ,it is especially necessary to study the relationship between the drug users and the family. In the sense of the effect of the family to the relapse of the drug user , the article adopt the game theory to analyze the relationship between the drug users and the family. Based on the game model of mutual benefit , by analyzing the best solution of the repeated games between drug user and family , the study finds the profound reason of the repeated relapse , and discovers the decision behavior rule on the question of relapse. The study broadens the thinking in the analysis method of relapse , provides the scientific theory guide to the family anti-drug , and it is significant to reduce the rate of relapse and solve the drug problem. The result : The drug users and the family are the two sides with mutual effect and limit. The short-term act of the drug user and the family will result in the repel of the family and the vicious circle of the relapse. The relapse rate commonly adopted by the community will affect the repeated game strategy of the drug users and the family , and on the other hand the strategy