一种基于周期模型的物联网实体实时预测方法.pdf

第53卷 第10期 电讯技术 Vol.53 No.10 2013年10月 Telecommunication Engineering Oct. 2013 doi:10.3969/ j.issn.1001-893x.2013.10.018 一种基于周期模型的物联网实体实时预测方法* 孔英会,沈丹凤** (华北电力大学 电子与通信工程系,河北 保定071003) 摘 要:对物联网中实体的海量数据进行分析处理成为了物联网应用层发展的基础,很多应用场合 需要对物联网实体状态进行预测。 物联网中的实体状态具有强实时性和高动态性,通过判断物联网 实体的周期模式采用合理的预测模型,对特定时间段建立时间窗口,预测出实体状态的概率值。 该 预测方法耗时短,能在2~4 s给出预测结果,且准确度高,能与实际相符合,对物联网应用层的决策 分析起到了很好的指示作用。 关键词:物联网;应用层;实体状态;实时预测;周期模型 中图分类号:TN915.9 文献标志码:A 文章编号:1001-893X(2013)10-1347-05 A Real-time Forecasting Method of Entities in Internet of Things Based on Cycle Models KONG Ying-hui,SHEN Dan-feng (Department of Electronicsand Communication Engineering,North ChinaElectricPower University,Baoding071003,China) Abstract:The analysis and processing of vast amounts of data of entities in the Internet of Things(IOT) hasbecome the basisfor the development of IOT application layer. Many applications need to predict the states of entities in IOT. Statesof entitiesinIOT are strongreal-timeandhigh dynamic. Byjudging cycle mode of entitiesinIOT andestablishingthetimewindow of aspecificperiodoftime,reasonableprediction model is used to predict the probability value of future state of entities. The prediction method is of short time-consuming and highaccuracy.Withthismethod,thepredictionresultcanbegivenin2~4 sanditis in accordance with actual one.It plays a role of good indicator in the decision-making analysis of IOT ap- plication layer. Key words:Internet of Things;application layer;entities state;real-time forecasting;cycle model 电网、桥梁、建筑等物体中,通过网络实现智能物体 1 引 言 的互联与信息采集。 物联网是计算机网络的扩展,是一