ppt课件-merdafrittaealtreprelibatezze（merdafrittaealtreprelibatezze）.pptVIP

12th March 2006 Nicola Barberis Negra - nibn@ Aspects of Relevance in Offshore Wind Farm Reliability Assessment Nicola Barberis Negra nibne@dongenergy.dk Outline Introduction to Reliability Why Wind Generation into Reliability Example of Evaluation Conclusions Questions Outline Introduction to Reliability Why Wind Generation into Reliability Example of Evaluation Conclusions Questions Introduction - Definition Introduction – Structure of Reliability Introduction – Structure of Reliability Two new aspects Distributed Generation Private Suppliers Introduction – Evaluation Methods Deterministic solutions First used approaches No uncertainty can be included Probabilistic methods Analytical models or simulations Uncertainty may be included Broad range of studies Outline Introduction to Reliability Why Wind Generation into Reliability Example of Evaluation Conclusions Questions Why Wind Energy New structure of power systems Increase of installed capacity (e.g. Germany) Increase of wind energy penetration (e.g. Denmark) Evolution of Installations Onshore installations (smaller and distributed) Offshore installations (larger and concentrated) Why Wind Energy - Aspects of Relevance Simulation of wind speed (WS) Wake effects Wind turbine technology Offshore environment Different wind speed in the installation site Power collection grid in the wind park Correlation of output power for different wind farms Grid connection configuration Hub height variations Outline Introduction to Reliability Why Wind Generation into Reliability Example of Evaluation Conclusions Questions Example – Monte Carlo Simulation Example – Simulation Definition Sequential Monte Carlo simulation Period of 1 year with hourly step (8760 hours) Relevant aspects included Random wind speed time series Wind turbine technology Power collection grid in the wind park Grid connection configuration Offshore environment Example – System Definition Example – Simulation Procedure Example – Results Exa