教育费用上涨对城镇居民消费行为影响的实证分析-empirical analysis of the influence of the rising education cost on the consumption behavior of urban residents.docxVIP

relationship between consumption and income by means of establishing state-space model and Kalman filtering method. Secondly, introducing the rising cost of education (measured by Tuition and Child Care relative index), I establish two short-term dynamic error correction models, and thus study the impact of the rising cost of education on the short-term consumption of urban residents. Last, building the corresponding cointegration relationship between consumption, income and the rising cost of education gains long-term impact of increasing education fee on the consumption of urban residents’ behavior. Through this deep study, the author puts forward the conclusion that the influence of increasing education fee on long and short-term cities consumer’s behaviors all is negative, and the rising cost of education affects the consumption structure of urban residents.Chapter four: In this part, the author utilizes the Characteristic Analysis to discuss the effect on food consumer s’ behavior of income difference, and utilizes the Panel Data Model to discuss crowding-out effect of their food consumption, which is influenced by the rising cost of education.Chapter five: To summarize the conclusions that mentioned in the previous The major contributions of this dissertation are that:Firstly, considering the need to focus on studying the affected consumer behavior for the rising cost of education of urban residents, I have established two error correction models for comparative analysis. Thus we obtain the impact of the rising cost of education, and from the contrast analysis we also can draw the conclusions that urban residents make the consumption more rational because of the rising cost ofeducation, and consumption of urban residents do not deviate from of long-run equilibrium between income and consumption.Secondly, through the establishment of consumption, income and Tuition and Child Care index of cointegration relationship we make the conclusion that: since t