基于GIS平台的外来生物风险评估系统-生物安全专业论文.docxVIP

AbstractRisk Abstract Risk analysis and early warning system critical issues and the most effective and economic measures to prevent invasive alien species and becoming indispensable part ofbio-invasion contr01． Risk assessment,which supplies information for risk management,is important part ofrisk analysis． To facilitate the data management of risk assessment and avoid the complex assessment modules and much data processing，剐sk Assessment System of Alien Species we∞developed in this study using Visual Basic computer language and GIS’secondaw developing module--MapObjects． Climatic analogy analysis，bin-climatic analogy analysis and multi-factors integrated analysis Were used in Risk Assessment System of Alien Species to predict suitable distribution areas of alien species and their invasion probabilivy around the world．Climatic analogy analysis follows the climatic analogy principles and applies analogy deviation to seek sites whose climate matches the alien species current distribution；bio-elimatic analogy analysis ascertains the most suitable sites of alien species by comparing their biological characteristics with the climatic data．Regarding the multi—factors integrated analysis，risk assessment index system ofalien species Was set Ilp firstly,then 34 parameters related to entry risk establishment risk,spread risk and hazard risk were chosen and additional parameters were allowed usei-s need，in the end，the risk values were quantified as assessment ofentry，establishment， spread and hazard risk through risk assessment index system．Different approaches were used in this study to predict the potential distribution sites，to have invasion probability more precise，to make the predictive results mofe readable。different symbols reflect risks referring t0 geographical distribution． Solenopsis invicta Buren is ofthe 100 WOrSt invasive alinn species in the world and choscn study of Risk Assessment System of Alien Species to test its application eapabilit／,because there plenty