邮件蠕虫传播与防御行为模型与分析.PDF

24 12 © Vol. 24 No. 12 2012 12 Journal of System Simulation Dec., 2012 1,2,3 1 4 2 1 , , , , (1., 100190; 2., 100195; 3., 100083; 4., 100083) , TP391.9 A 1004-731X (2012) 12-2424-07 Model and Analysis Based on Propagation and Defensive Behavior of Email Worm 1,2,3 1 4 2 1 YU Min , WANG Yuan-zhuo , LIU Li , QIU Xin-liang , CHENG Xue-qi (1. The Institute of Computing Technology of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China; 2. Institute of Information Engineering, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100195, China; 3. School of Computer Communications Engineering, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing 100083, China; 4. School of Automation Electrical Engineering, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing 100083, China) Abstract: Email worm propagation is a significant aspect of network security research nowadays, and also is essential to explore defensive strategies of email worm. A graphical modeling description method (Stochastic Game Nets) that supported quantitative mathematical calculation was introduced, and according to the practical model, an algorithm was proposed for solving the equilibrium strategy. Then the quantitative calculation method of worm propagation behavior analysis indicators were further proposed based on the algorithm, taking a comparative analysis, and also the variety of the infection rate and the average infection time were discussed with different strategies. Finally, a