财政农业支出结构对农业经济的增长效应.pdfVIP

2008年3月 华 东 经 济 管 理 Mar．，2008 (第22卷第3期) East China Economic Management (Vo1．22，No．3) ●中国农业 财政农业支出结构对农业经济的增长效应 王文普 ，陈 伟 (1．南通大学 商学院，江苏 南通 226019；2．天津工业大学 管理学院，天津 300384) [摘要]文章根据VAR模型和VCE模型，选取我国1978--2005年的农业产出和财政农业支出为样本数据， 从三个层面分析了财政农业支出及其结构与农业经济增长之间关系。首先分析了财政农业支出总水平对农 业经济的影响。其次，分析了财政农业支出的主要项目对农业经济的增长效应。最后，根据财政农业支出 的不同用途，分析了财政生产性和消费性支出对农业经济的增长效应。 [关键词]财政农业支出结构；农业经济增长；向量误差修正模型 [中图分类号]F323 [文献标识码]A [文章编号]1007--5097(2o08)03—0045—05 The Growth Effects of Composites of Fiscal Agricultural Expenditure on Agricultural Economic Growth WANG Wen．pu ．CHEN Wei (1．School ofBusiness，Nantong Uinversity，Nantong 226019，China； 2．School of Management，Tianjin Polytechnic Unh~ersity，Tianjin 300384，China) Abstract：Basing on Vector Autoagression Model and Vector Error Correction Model，the paper analyses the relation between the total level and the composites of financial agricultural expenditure and the growth of agricultural economy with the sample data of agricultural to— tal output and fiscal agricultural expenditure in 1978—2005．Firstly the paper analyses the effect of the lew~l of fisical agricultural spend— ing on agricultural economic growth，Secondly the paper investigates the role of the components of financial agricultural expenditure in ag— ricuhural economic growth．Finally，according to the means of using fincancial agricultural expenditure，the paper examines the effects of fiscal productive and consumptive expenditures on agricultural economic growth． Key words：composites of fiscal agricultural expenditure；agricultural economic growth；vector error correction model 一 、 引 言 农业GDP的弹性分别为0．25、0．36和～0．35。李涛、