我国生产性服务业与制造业互动演化研究.docVIP

我国生产性服务业与制造业互动演化研究 　　摘 要：利用我国1997年、2002年和2007年的投入产出表,选取动态的生产性服务业细分行业和13个固定的制造业细分行业，并剔除进口因素的影响，分别计算各年度制造业使用生产性服务业的完全消耗系数和生产性服务业使用制造业的完全消耗系数。结果表明，近十年来我国的生产性服务业与制造业之间的完全消耗系数大体上呈现上升趋势，二者之间技术联系不断加强，已经进入了高度互动关联的阶段。应通过提高制造业核心竞争力、加快发展新型生产性服务业，在加快各自产业升级的同时进一步促进生产性服务业与制造业的互动发展。?? 　　关键词：生产性服务业；制造业；投入产出分析；完全消耗系数；技术联系；互动演化；新型生产性服务业?? 　　中图分类号：F062.9；F223 文献标志码：A文章编号：1674-8131（2011）03-0074-08?? 　　 　　??Research into Interactive Evolution of China’s ProducerService Industry and Manufacturing Industry?? 　　―Analysis of Input-output after Eliminating the Influence of Import 　　LIU Ming-lei??a, TIAN Xi-zhou??b, ZHANG Wei??a?? 　　 　　(a. School of Economics and Trade; b. Yangtze Upriver Economic Research Center,Chongqing Technology and Business University, Chongqing 400067, China) 　　Abstract: Based on China’s input-output table from 1997 to 2007, this paper firstly selects the segmented producer services industries and thirteen fixed segmented manufacturing industries, eliminates the influence of the factor of import, and then calculates complete consumption coefficients of producer service industry used by manufacturing industries each year and complete consumption coefficients of manufacturing industries used by producer service industry separately. Results show that the complete consumption coefficients between China’s producer service industry and manufacturing industries demonstrate the trend of rising on the whole in recent ten years and that the technical association between the two is stronger and stronger and has entered into highly interactive association period. China should further promote the interactive development of producer service industry and manufacturing industries by increasing core competence of manufacturing industries, by accelerating the development of new-style producer service industry and by boosting industrial upgrading of all industries. 　　Key words: producer service industry; manufacturing industry; input-output analysis; complete consumption coef