港口搬迁对港口关联产业选址影响.docVIP

港口搬迁对港口关联产业选址影响 　　摘 要:针对港口搬迁会直接或间接导致新、老港区周边的土地利用格局发生很大变化的情况,采用土地利用模型分析港口搬迁对关联产业选址的影响,通过对港口关联企业选址行为的调查,建立港口关联产业选址模型,将交通可达性、写字楼租金、关联企业集聚度、服务设施丰富程度等作为选址要素,用综合权重法标定选址效用函数中的未知因数,针对各类产业进行选址因素敏感性分析.以大连港搬迁为例,对该模型进行检验,分析港口关联企业在新、老港区选址的概率.该方法可为新、老港口区域的规划和交通系统的建设提供理论依据. 　　关键词:港口搬迁; 产业选址模型; 土地利用; 效用函数 　　中图分类号:U653; U692.21文献标志码:A 　　 　　Impacts of port relocation on location of port-related industries 　　YANG Zhongzhen, JIANG Yonglei 　　(Transportation Management College, Dalian Maritime Univ., Dalian Liaoning 116026, China) 　　Abstract: In view of the port relocation results in great changes of land-use patterns of areas surrounding newand old port, the impacts of port relocation on the location of port-related industries by the land-use mode is studied according to the land utilization model. By surveying the location behaviors of port-related enterprises, a port-related industrial location model, which takes transport accessibility, rent level of office, aggregated degree of similar and relevant enterprises, abundance of service facilities as the location factors, is developed. According to the parameters of the location utility function calibrated by the comprehensive granting weight methods, the sensitivity of location factors of each kind of industry is analyzed. Taking relocation of Dalian Port as an example, the model is tested, and the location probabilities of port-related enterprises at the sites surrounding new and old port is analyzed respectively. This method can provide theoryfor plans and transportation system’s constructions of areas surrounding new and oldport. 　　Key words: port relocation; industrial location model; land-use; utility function 　　 　　0 引 言 　　 　　为促进经济增长,建设国际物流中心,我国许多沿海城市正积极投资港口建设.其中,有些港口以老港区为基础进行改扩建,如天津港,其拥有足够的岸线和土地资源;另外一些港口则放弃老港区,在远离市中心的地方建设新港口,如大连、上海和深圳分别在距市中心很远的大窑湾、洋山和盐田建设新港口. 　　港口是生产和运输活动的密集地,每天都有大量的车流和人流进出港口,因此,许多港口关联企业都选址在港口附近.港口搬迁打破原有的土地利用形态,诱发产业搬迁,导致许多生产活动的空间转移,城市土地利用系统出现新格局.可采用土地利用模型分析港口搬迁对关联产业搬迁乃至城市土地利用格局的影响. 　　土地利用模型首次在美国应用于