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Cross-Country Evidence
on the Revenue Impact of
Tax Reforms
David Amaglobeli, Valerio Crispolti, and Xuguang Simon Sheng
WP/22/199
IMF Working Papers describe research in
progress by the author(s) and are published to
elicit comments and to encourage debate.
The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are
those of the author(s) and do not necessarily
represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board,
or IMF management.
2022
SEP
© 2022 International Monetary Fund WP/22/199
IMF Working Paper
Fiscal Affairs Department
Cross-Country Evidence on the Revenue Impact of Tax Reforms
Prepared by David Amaglobeli, Valerio Crispolti, and Xuguang Simon Sheng1
Authorized for distribution by James Daniel
September 2022
IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit
comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the
author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.
ABSTRACT: Many countries face the challenge of raising additional tax revenues without hurting economic
growth. Comprehensive, cross-country information on the revenue impact of tax policy changes can thus
support informed decision-making on viable reforms. We assess the likely revenue impact of various tax policy
changes based on a sample of 21 advanced and emerging market economies, using granular information from
the IMF Tax Policy Reform Database v.4.0. Our findings suggest that the revenue yield of a tax policy change
varies significantly depending on the tax instrument adopted (e.g., VAT or personal income tax) and the nature
of the
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