2025年基于自动驾驶的未来交通与新型电力系统协同报告-2025-03-自动驾驶.docxVIP

基于自动驾驶的未来交通与新型电力系统协同PowerandTransportSynergyDrivenbyAutonomousElectricVehicles

HongcaiZhang

AssistantProfessor

StateKeyLabofInternetofThingsforSmartCity

uM

uM澳大

Oct15,2024

2

Content

Backgroundmotivation

autonomous

autonomousEVfleet

RoutingpricingofautonomousEVstopromote

renewablegenerationintegration

山Autonomous

山

AutonomousEVsasmobilestoragesystemsto

enhancepowersystemresilience

Summary

Summary

EVsaredominatingfuturetransportationsystems

·EVstockhashit21Mandsalessharehasrisento30%inChinabytheendof

2023(over40%in2024)

Transportationnetwork

*Datasource:IEA,GlobalEVOutlook2023,2024.

growingEVchargingImpactofload-a

growing

EV

charging

Impactof

·EVchargingloadatmidnighthasreached450MW,witharapidincreaserateof75MW/min,significantlyhigherthanotherpeakperiods

·By2025,chargingloadcouldriseto800-1,000MW,furtherstressingthegridand

compromisingsystemstability

TimeofDay(15-minuteintervals)

HainanchargingloadheatmapAveragedailyEVchargingloadprofilesperstation

Hainanchargingloadheatmap

EVsasmobileenergystorageforpowersystem

·EVscomeinvarioustypeswithheterogeneousofworkingasmobileenergystoragetointeract

Small

Medium-

Large

Taxi(50-100kWh)Private(50-100kWh)

Taxi(50-100kWh)

Bus(120-300kWh)Truck(130-180kWh)

Bus(120-300kWh)

DumperTruck(≥300kWh)Emergency(≥300kWh)

characteristics,butallarecapablewithpowersystem

Onemonths

≈electricityconsumption

foraresident

Twoweeks

≈electricityconsumption

forafamily

Oneweeks

≈electricityconsumption

forasix-storyapartment

5

Eraofautonomouselectricvehicles

·Globalautonomousvehiclemarketsizemayexceed2200billiondollarsby2023

·Over1kdesignmodelsforelectricverticaltake-offandlandingaircraftworldwidein2024,andalreadycommercializedinthedeliverybusiness

Globalautonomousvehiclemarketsize(billionUSdolla