双季晚稻空壳率与气象因子的灰色联系度分析.pdfVIP

安徽农业科学,Journal of Anhui Agri . Sci .2007 ,35( 15) :4400 - 4401,4591 责任编辑 孙红忠 责任校对 李菲菲 双季晚稻空壳率与气象因子的灰色关联度分析 1 ,2 2 舒素芳 , 夏晓丰 ( 1. 北京大学物理学院大气科学系, 北京 100871 ;2 . 浙江省金华市气象局, 浙江金华321000) 摘要 根据 1980 ～2006 年金华市双季晚稻农业气象观测资料及 气象观测资料, 运用灰色关联度分析方法对双季晚稻抽穗期相关气象因 子与双季晚稻 空壳率进行 了比较分析 。结果表 明, 双季晚稻抽穗期降水量、20 ℃负有效积温是 空壳率高低的主要影响 因素, 抽穗期多雨 水天 气或强冷空气是造成双季晚稻 空壳率上扬的主要不利 气象条件, 并探讨 了趋利避 害的相关途径, 为水稻 高产栽培提供参考依据 。 关键词 双季晚稻; 空壳率; 气象因子; 关联度分析 中图分类号 S511 .3 + 3 文献标识码 A 文章编号 0517 - 66 11( 2007) 15 - 04400 - 02 Analysis of the Grey Correlation Degree between Empty Grain Rate of Double-season Late Rice and Meteorological Factor SHU Su-fang et al ( Department of Atmospheric Science ,School of Physics ,Peking University ,Beij ing 100871) Abstract According to the agricultural meteorology datai n the period of double- season late rice growth and meteorology data inJinhua city fro m1980 to 2006 ,the meteorological factors during heading date and empty grain rate of double- season late rice were analyzed with the method of grey correlation de- gree analysis . The results were as follows : the precipitation and negative efective accumulate temperature of 20 ℃during heading date of double-season late rice were the maj or affecting factors for empty grai n rate , and wet weather and strong col d air during heading date were the maj or adverse meteorologic conditions ,at the same ti me ,the approaches to pursue advantages and avoid detri ments were discussed ,all these provided a reference basis for high-yielding cultivation in rice . Key words Double- season late rice ; Empty grain rate ; Meteorological factor ; Correlation degree analysis 双 季晚稻是金华市主要粮食 作物 之一 。金华 总的光 热 小。ρ∈[0 ,1] , 一般取 ρ= 0 .5 。 水 资源 充沛 , 但 各气象要素分布不均, 光 热水 资源优 劣配置