未确知测度模型在水生态文明评价中的应用.docxVIP

未确知测度模型在水生态文明评价中的 应用 罗涛 郁春松 郭磊 汪伦焰 李慧敏 河南水利投资集团有限公司河南省水环境治理与生 态修复院士工作站 华北水利水电大学 摘要： 以城市水生态文明建设成果为评价对象，结合城市水生态建设的特点，参照《山 东省水生态文明城市评价标准》(DB37/T 2172-2012),从水资源、水环境、 水生态、水文化、水管理5个方而选取了 23项指标构建评价指标体系，利用未 确知测度模型进行评价。在未确知测度模型构建上，引入了改进的爛权理论，有 效克服了以往相关研究存在的主观赋值的弊端。为验证该模型的有效性，对 2015年洛阳市水生态文明城市建设现状进行了评价，结果表明:洛阳市水生态 文明建设总体效果为良，其屮在水资源、水环境、水生态和水管理建设方面效果 尤为显著，水文化建设效果不甚理想;得岀的结论基本符合该市建设现状，验证 了该方法的科学性、合理性和可操作性。 关键词： 水资源;水环境;水生态；未确知测度模型;改进的爛权模型; 作者简介：罗涛(1974—),男，河南周口人，高级工程师，主要从事水利工程 建设投融资方面的工作。E-mail: luotao741208@126. com 收稿日期：2017-02-24 基金：2016年河南省科技厅产学研合作项目(162107000050) Application of Uncertainty Measurement Model in Evaluation of Water Ecological Civilization City Construetion LUO Tao YU Chunsong GUO Lei WANG Lunyan LI Huimin Henan Water Conservancy Investment Group Co., Ltd; Anhui Tendering Group Inc?；Water Environment Governance and Ecological Restoration Academician Workstation of Henan Province; Abstract： Taking the achievements of urban water ecological civilization building as an evaluation object, combining the characteristics of ur-ban water ecological building and referring to “The Standards of Urban Evaluation in Shandong Province” (DB37/T 2172一2012) , this pa-pcr selected 23 evaluation indexes from 5 aspects of water resources, water environment, water ecology, water culture and water managementto bu订d the evaluation index system and used unascertained measure model to evaluate the water ecological building. On the basis of the uncis-certciined measure model, it introduced the improved entropy weight theory, which effectively water ecological civilization in LuoyangCity in 2015. The that the overall objective evaluation of water ecologiceil in Luoyang is good, and the effeet of watcrrcsourccs, water water ecology and water management are particularly water ecological civilization in LuoyangCity in 2015. The that the overall objective evaluation of water ecologiceil in Luoyang is good, and the effeet of watcrrcsourccs, water water ecology and water management are par