中国旅游业经济贡献率的地区差异及其影响因素分析.docVIP

PAGE PAGE 21 中国旅游业经济贡献率的地区差异及其影响因素分析 摘要：随着经济以及社会各方面综合实力的提升，我国各地区在旅游业经济发展领域上取得了较为明显的成就，但由于受到旅游资源丰富程度、不同区域的社会经济发展水平、基础设施建设、居民的收入水平等条件因素的影响及限制，导致了各地区之间的旅游业发展水平存在较大的不平衡现象。 揭示并正确认识我国各区域旅游业发展水平的差异，分析其影响因素，对促进我国旅游业区域和谐有效发展，具有重要的价值和意义。 本文立足于统计分析的角度，采用主成分分析、相关性分析、旅游化指数等多种方法，利用spss、excel等工具软件，对全国各省区旅游业发展情况进行了统计分析，从而探讨区域旅游业的发展水平差异及其影响因素情况。 利用计算旅游收入占全国旅游收入的比重等，得出中国海内外游客及旅游收入总体发展态势差异。另外通过相关性检验、主成分分析等得出2013年中国省区旅游化指数，以此分析我国区域旅游业发展差异。并通过回归得出影响不同区域旅游业发展水平差异的影响因素。 通过对区域旅游业的统计分析，得出有效结论并提出相关建议，从而促进各区域旅游业的平衡、快速发展。 关键词：区域旅游业；主成分分析；旅游贡献率；影响因素 Analysis on the influencing factors of regional differences in the development of tourism in China Abstract: With the rapid development of society, China has made great achievements in the tourism industry. However, due to the impact of tourism resources, economic basis and other reasons, there are huge differences in the tourism development. It’s important to understand the differences of regional tourism development in eastern and Western China, analyze the influencing factors. So that we can promote the regional planning and harmonious development of Chinas tourism industry. Based on statistical analysis, this paper uses the principal components analysis, Gini coefficient, correlation analysis, Granger causality test, the contribution rate and other methods, with the help of SPSS, Eviews, Excel and other software for statistical analysis of the provinces and autonomous regions of the country, to explore the development of regional tourism. And through the correlation test, the contribution rate, as well as the principal component analysis of the 2013 Chinas tourism index, the three regions of the eastern and western regions of the tourism industry differences. Through the analysis of the statistical analysis of the regional tourism industry, it is concluded that the balanced and rapid development of the regional tourism. Keywords: Regional tourism；principal component analysis； influence factor 一、绪论 (一)选题背景及研究意义 随着社会的发展，旅游产业也随之兴起。它的发展不仅能提高人民的生