甘肃省农业科技进步贡献率的测算及分析.pdfVIP

2007年 l2月 甘 肃 农 业 大 学 学 报 第 4 2卷 第6期 143～l47 J OURNAL OF GANSU AGRICULTURAL UNIVERSITY 双 月 刊 甘肃省农业科技进步贡献率的测算及分析 李双奎 ，谈存峰 (1．甘肃农业大学人文学院。甘肃 兰州 730070；2．甘肃农业大学经济管理学院，甘肃 兰州 730070) 摘要：采用Cobb--Douglas生产函数对 l998—2005年甘肃省农业科技进步贡献率进行了测算，并运用层次分 析法对影响农业科技进步贡献率的因素进行了进一步分析．结果表明：1998—2005年甘肃农业科技进步贡献率为 44．95 ，物质消耗增长速度仍然过快，农业生产方式仍未完成从粗放型向集约型的转变． 关键词：农业科技进步；贡献率；Cobb—Douglas生产函数；层次分析法；甘肃省 中图分类号：F 30 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1003—4315(2007)06—0143—05 Determination and analysis of contribution rate of agricultural · · ^ 0 1 ’ 1 0 1 0 ，、 ’一 0 scientiI1C and technologlcal Prog’ress 1n tAansU 1-rovlnce LI Shuang—kui ．TAN Cun—feng (1．College of Humanities，Gansu Agricultural University，Lanzhou 730070，China；2．College of Economics and Management，Gansu Agricultural University，Lanzhou 730070，China) Abstract：The contribution rate of agricultural scientific and technological progress is an important in— dicator reflecting agricultural modernization level in certain region，which affected by several factors．The contribution rate of agricultural scientific and technological progress in Gansu Province from 1 998 to 2005 were determined by means of the Cobb—Douglas production function，meanwhile the analytic hierarchy process was used for analyzing the factors influencing the rate．The results indicated that the contribution rate of agricultural scientific and technological progress in these years reached to 44．9 ，the consumption level still increased in too high speed，and the transformation of extensive agricultural production mode to intensive one had not finished yet． 、 Key words：agricultural scientific and technological progre