TED中英双语演讲稿The best stats youve ever seen.pdfVIP

The best stats youve ever seen Hans Rosling 2006-06-27 /talks/hans_rosling_the_best_stats_you_ve_ever_seen Pollykann - A powerful video player (App) for learning languages provided technical support for the subtitles. 本字幕由【小鹦看看】- 用了会后悔，不用更后悔的外语学习App，提供技术支持。 About 10 years ago, I took on the task to teach global development 大约在十年前， 我担当起 to Swedish undergraduate students. 给瑞典大学生讲授全球发展的任务 That was after having spent about 20 years, 之前的20年我一直在非洲研究饥饿问题 together with African institutions, studying hunger in Africa. So I was sort of expected to know a little about the world. 所以大家以为我对世界有些了解 And I started, in our medical university, Karolinska Institute, 在我们的卡罗林斯卡医学院 an undergraduate course called Global Health. 我开设了一门本科生课程“全球健康” But when you get that opportunity, you get a little nervous. 刚开课的时候我还有些紧张 I thought, these students coming to us actually have the highest grade 因为来听课的都是瑞典大学的优等生 you can get in the Swedish college system, 他们或许早已了解我准备教的内容 so I thought, maybe they know everything Im going to teach them about. 于是在第一堂课里，我作了一个小测试 So I did a pretest when they came. And one of the questions from which I learned a lot was this one: 其中有一道题让我受益匪浅 Which country has the highest child mortality of these five pairs? 下列5对国家中，哪一个的儿童死亡率高于另一个？ And I put them together so that in each pair of countries, 我所选择的配对国家都是 one has twice the child mortality of the other. 一个的儿童死亡率是另一个的两倍,因为数据差距很大 And this means that its much bigger, the difference, 因此数据本身的不确定性可以忽略不计 than the uncertainty of the data. I wont put you at a test here, but its Turkey, 今天我不会拿这来考大家 which is highest there, Poland, Russia, Pakistan and South Africa. 土耳其，波兰，俄罗斯，巴基斯坦和南非 And these were the results of the Swedish students. 这是瑞典学生的测验结果 I did it so I got the confidence interval, which is pretty narrow. 让我高兴的是 And I got happy, of course -- a 1.8 right answer out of five possible. 5题中平均答对的只有1.8题 That means there was a place for a professor of international health 我这个教授还有这门课 an