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Progress is not a zero-sum game
Robert Wright 2007-01-17
/talks/robert_wright_progress_is_not_a_zero_sum_game
Pollykann - A powerful video player (App) for learning languages provided technical support for the subtitles.
本字幕由【小鹦看看】- 用了会后悔,不用更后悔的外语学习App,提供技术支持。
Ive got apparently 18 minutes
我大概有18分钟的时间
to convince you that history has a direction, an arrow;
来说服你们历史发展是有方向的如一个箭头。
that in some fundamental sense, its good;
本质上来说,这是个好事。
that the arrow points to something positive.
箭头指向着一些积极的事物。
Now, when the TED people first approached me about giving this upbeat talk --
当初TED来找我做个乐观的演讲
(Laughter)
(笑声)
-- that was before the cartoon of Muhammad had triggered global rioting.
-- 那时穆斯林还没有在世界各地引发暴乱
It was before the avian flu had reached Europe.
禽流感还未登录欧洲
It was before Hamas had won the Palestinian election,
哈马斯还未赢得巴勒斯坦大选
eliciting various counter-measures by Israel.
以色列也还未对之采取一系列对抗政策
And to be honest, if I had known when I was asked to give this upbeat talk
说实话,如果当初接受邀请时
that even as I was giving the upbeat talk,
我能预见知道现在
the apocalypse would be unfolding --
老天还没打开启示录的话
(Laughter)
(笑声)
-- I might have said, Is it okay if I talk about something else?
我也许会说,“我能不能说点别的?”
But I didnt, OK. So were here. Ill do what I can. Ill do what I can.
不过我当时没说,那么好吧,我只能尽力试试看了。
Ive got to warn you:
我必须先警告你们
the sense in which my worldview is upbeat has always been kind of subtle,
我世界观的积极意义很难被理解
sometimes even elusive.
甚至可以说是晦涩难懂
(Laughter)
(笑声)
The sense in which I can be uplifting and inspiring --
当我说:“我可以变得很乐观“,
I mean, theres always been a kind of a certain grim dimension
我想,我尝试去乐观这件事
to the way I try to uplift, so if grim inspiration --
本来就带着点悲观色彩,所以-
(Laughter)
(笑声)
-- if grim inspiration is not a contradiction in terms, that is, Im afraid,
--如果“悲观的乐观主义精神“不算自相矛盾的话,恐怕
the most you can hope for. OK, today -- thats if I succeed.
这就是今天你们可以从我这儿得到的,最乐观的东西了。
Ill see what I can do. OK?
我会尽力的。
Now, in one sense,
首先,
the claim t
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