房地产项目投资风险分析和评价分析-项目管理专业论文.docxVIP

Research on Investment Risk Analysis and Evaluation of Real Estate Project Specialty:Accounting Name:Wen Fangfang Instructor:prof.Li Lin Abstract With the development of economy, the investment of real estate is becoming increasingly active in China. After 20 years’ continuous development and maturation, the field of real estate has become the project for people’s well-being which related to the harmony of society and the stability of peoples life. At the same time, the imperfect of real estate market and laws caused some phenomenon such as the overheated investment, the soaring housing prices and the unsatisfactory national regulation. The real estate has become currently one of the most high-risk industries. The risk analysis and research of real estate investment has also become an important issue both in theory and in practice. This paper is based on the research of real estate investment risk. Firstly, the important position of risk analysis in the overall process can be reflected through the definition and classification of the risk and the statement of manage content and process. Secondly, with the combination of the actual situation of Chinas real estate investment and the application of the basic principle of analytic hierarchy process, the risk of investment in real estate projects can be divided into six indexes: the risk factor of macro policy, market environment, economic conditions, preparation phase, construction phase and late rental phase. According to the detailed analysis of the 21 sub-factors included in these six risk indicators, not only the system for the research of the risk of investment in real estate projects but also the real estate investment risk evaluation model which is based on the multilevel gray evaluation has been set up. Finally, this paper takes one of real estate projects in Xian as the research object, focusing on the quantitative and qualitative case studies of the risk in real estate investment. As a conclusion, the