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AllianzGreenTransitionTracker2025
AdecadeafterParis:Progress,paralysisand
theracetonetzero
18November2025
Content
4
ExecutiveSummary
10
Globalclimatetransition:State,progressandoutlook
30
Countryprofiles
34
Appendix
AllianzResearch
2
•Theglobaltransitionstandsatacriticalcrossroads.Adecadeafterthe
ParisAgreementclimateimpactsareaccelerating:2024wasthehottestyearonrecord,withdirectclimatedamagesreachingUSD300bnandbroader
economiclossesinthetrillions.Currenttrendspointtowardwarmingabove
+3°Cby2100,asglobalemissionsfailedtofullydecouplefromeconomic
growthandcontinuedtheirupwardtrendoverthepastdecade.Keeping
warmingbelow2°Cwillrequirerapidelectrification,steepcutsinfossil-
fueluse,andaccelerateddeploymentofcleantechnologies.WithCOP30
underwayinBelém,thedecisionsmadethisyearwillbepivotalinshapingtheglobalclimatetrajectoryforthenextdecade.
•Progresshasaccelerated,butmajor(investment)gapsremain.Renewablesovertookcoalinglobalpowerproductioninthefirsthalfof2025andlow-
carbonelectricitycapacityhasexpanded+53%since2015.Clean-energycostshavefallensharply-solarby87%,windby48–55%andbatteriesbyover80%
-makingthembroadlycost-competitivewithfossilfuelbasedalternatives.
LowcarboninvestmenthasreachedUSD2.1trn,up78%overthedecade,yetaUSD2.6trnannualmitigationgapremainsthrough2030.
•TheAllianzGreenTransitionTrackerrevealsbothgrowingmomentumandwideningdivergence.TheTrackerevaluates69countriesacrossfiveindicators
-carbonandenergyintensity,consumption-andterritorial-basedemissions
percapita,andtheshareoflow-carbonelectricity-throughtwodimensions:thePeerScore,whichcomparescurrentperformanceacrosscountries,and
theProgressScore,whichmeasureseachcountry’spaceofdecarbonization
relativetoits2015baselineandthe2050net-zerotarget.
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